DoctorAdvice4u

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Dr. Roshin Rowjee
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2013 Disaster History












* SUPER TYPHOON
         HAIYAN/ YOLANDA

             
- PHILIPPINES & VIETNAM-








- MY BLOG: 

(03/19/2014)



* PHILIPPINES: Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda Lessons Learned Interview
- http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/international/radio/program/asia-pacific/philippines-red-cross-learns-valuable-lessons-from-haiyan/1280468





(02/23/2014)




* PHILIPPINES: --- SUPER TYPHOON HAIYAN RECOVERY Update ---
• DONATE: https://www.ammado.com/donate?145575
• PHILIPPINES BREAKS WORLD RECORD FOR LARGEST CHARITY WALK
http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2014/02/17/1291297/inc-charity-walk-breaks-another-world-record
• COCA COLA "SHARE'S HAPPINESS"
1) 
http://www.philstar.com/sunday-life/2014/02/16/1290728/coca-cola-helps-rebuildph?nomobile=1
2) 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DxCjWCmlcdw&feature=youtu.be&utm_content=buffer70983&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
• PHILIPPINE MEDICAL SOCIETY RAFFLE (FLORIDA):
http://pmsjax.us/raffle_ticket_page
• Habitat for Humanity Philippines
Our project 
#ReBuildPH has started to take shape and has given us more reasons to strive harder to help more families. Thank you to everyone who keeps on supporting #ReBuildPH!

 






- MY BLOG: 


(12/25/2013)
 * MERRY CHRISTMAS TO FRIENDS IN THE PHILIPPINES.


- Tweet to help Super Typhoon Haiyan recovery. God Bless.

- TWEET NA! Sa bawat tweet na may #Tweet4Good magdo-donate ang @Twitter ng $1.40 sa @philredcross http://ow.ly/rVQog  @TwitterAds


  • * MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL MY FRIENDS/PEOPLE IN THE PHILIPPINES. 
    - 2013 has been a tough year (earthquake and Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda); but, countless acts of heroism, citizenship, and character surfaced as the typhoon arrived and post recovery. You Philipinos are true heroes, and the world is inspired by your resilience. This Christmas season and into the New Year 2014, may God continue to bring comfort to those people who lost much from the disasters, and may peace fill your heart and soul this Christmas and as you move forward into the future. Thank you for your gracious words and thank yous this past year. Humbled to be at your service. God Bless.

 

 









(12/24/2013)
IMPORTANT CONTACT INFORMATION
 

 

Company Name

Contact Information

Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC)

Tel. Nos.: (+632) 911-1406; (+632) 912-2665; (+632) 912-5668;

(+632) 911-1873; (+632) 912-3046

 

Trunkline: (+632) 911-5061 to 64

American Citizen Services, U.S. Embassy Manila

Tel No.: (632) 301-2000

Fax : (632) 301-2017

Economic Section, U.S. Embassy Manila

Tel No.: (632) 301-2000
Email: ManilaEcon@state.gov

Caritas Manila

Tel Nos.: (632) 564-0205 / 562-0020 to 25

Website: cm@caritasmanila.org.ph

Catholic Relief Services (CRS)

Tel No.: (632) 527-8331 to 35

Website: http://crs.org/

 

Corporate Network for Disaster Response (CNDR)

Tel Nos.: (632) 687-9228 / 687-4208

E-mail: secretariat@cndr.prg.ph

Websites: http://cndr.org.ph/  ;

http://cndrphilippines.tumblr.com/

 

Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD), Disaster Response Unit

Tel Nos.: (632) 931-8101 to 07

Website: http://www.dswd.gov.ph/

Economic Section, U.S. Embassy Manila

(for information and assistance on private donations)

Tel. No. 301-2000 extension 2201

 

ManilaEcon@state.gov; Joel Ehrendreich, Economic Counselor; (mobile) (63) 917-887-6982; (office) (632) 301-2003; (home) (632) 816-7544; (embassy switchboard) (632) 301-2000

National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC)

Tel Nos.: (632) 911-1406 / 912-2665

Website: http://ndrrmc.gov.ph/

Email: opcen@ndrrmc.gov.ph

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

Tel No.: (632) 433-8526

E-mail: piias@pagasa.dost.gov.ph

Website: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/

 

Rescue Operations

  • National Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC) (+632-9125668, +632-9111406, +632-9115061, +632-9122665) Help hotlines: (+65 734-2118, 734-2120)
  • Philippine Coast Guard (+632-5276136)
  • Air Force (+63908-1126976, +632-8535023)
  • Metro Manila Development Authority (136)
  • Marikina City Rescue (+632-6462436, +632-6462423, +632920-9072902)
  • Pasig Rescue Emergency Number (+632-6310099)
  • Quezon City Rescue (161)
  • San Juan City Hall Command Post (+632-4681697)
  • Bureau of Fire Protection Region III (Central Luzon) Hotline: (+63245-9634376)

 




(12/21/2013)
- Philippine people, DoctorAdvice4u.com is with you!  Tweet #Tweet4Good to help with Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda recovery efforts.

TWEET NA! Sa bawat tweet na may #Tweet4Good magdo-donate ang @Twitter ng $1.40 sa @philredcross http://ow.ly/rVQog  @TwitterAds




(12/08/2013)
- One month anniversary of Super Typhoon Haiyan/ Yolanda landfall.  Watch video.











(12/01/2013)


- Buy an I-tune to help Philippine people/friends recover.
- Click: https://itunes.apple.com/us/album/songs-for-the-philippines/id764022051








  

(5:00 AM PCT, Philippine Time, 11/12/2013)
Ms. Vivian Sue Olita Tabar, a Philippine native, provided information to assist families with the rescue and recovery efforts.  God Speed to the Philippine people.   Thank you.



Philippine Red Cross
If you are looking for a family or friend, use #TracingPH #RescuePH or fill up http://goo.gl/dAGNSi

Welfare Desks including RFL and tracing services are established in the affected areas. National Societies abroad that are approached by families without news of their loved ones can contact the PRC Social Services Department

Email: sos@redcross.org.ph, zenaida.beltejar@redcross.org.ph
Mobile: 09175328500, 09473844497
Landline: 5270000 loc. 126, 5270867

Twitter: @philredcross @justcallmelloyd @lynvgarcia
Email: lyn.garcia@redcross.org.ph, kenneth.dimalibot@redcross.org.ph, opcen@redcross.org.ph





(4:00 PM ICT, Vietnam Time, 11/11/2013)
Typhoon Haiyan is a moderate level tropical storm (85 kph) continuing to decrease in intensity in northeast Vietnam and southwest China.  The remnants of Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda continue to produce a significant rain event in the above mentioned areas.  Rescue and recovery efforts are ongoing in the Philippines. My thoughts and prayers continue to be extended to the Philippine people.






(2:00 AM ICT, Vietnam Time, 11/11/2013)      
- Typhoon Haiyan is a Category 1 typhoon with winds of 140 kph.  Landfall is imminent early morning Monday November 11, 2013 near Dong Hai/ Hai Phong / Do Son District as a severe tropical storm with winds of 95-115 kph.  God's Speed to all.
   






(2:00 PM ICT, Vietnam Time, 11/10/2013)  

- Typhoon Haiyan is a Category 3 typhoon with winds of 195 kph.  Haiyan’s eye  is located midway between  Da Nang, Vietnam and the Paracel Islands.  Haiyan is moving to the northwest at 35 kph making a track midway between Vietnam’s northeastern coastline and Hainan Island.  When Haiyan is midway between tt Ky Anh and Hainan Island, this northwest movement  will  gradually turn into a north-northwest movement  with eventual landfall early morning Monday November 11, 2013 (8:00 - 10:00 AM ICT, Vietnam time) near Dong Hai/Hai Phong /Do Son District as a severe tropical storm with winds of 95-115 kph.  Thus, most of Vietnam’s north central coastline from Da Nang, Vietnam to tp Mong Cai, Vietnam will feel the impacts from Typhoon Haiyan in the form of inland flooding due to tidal surge, destructive surf to fishing vessels, flooding from tropical rain squalls, tropical storm force winds with typhoon wind gusts, and life threatening landslides/mudslides.  A significant rain event (see rainfall map below) with flooding is likely to occur in Vietnam and southwestern China (along the border with Vietnam); thus, all people/friends in Vietnam should make preparations to handle the above mentioned impacts.  There exists a good 12 hour window of opportunity to protect property and seek appropriate shelter especially if you live in villages close to rivers or along the coastline where the tidal surge is likely to be destructive. Be in your place of shelter no later than midnight Sunday November 10, 2013.  Take precautions now to stay safe later.  Tidal surge model and infrared eye core model posted are posted on website.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will blog landfallupdates 24/7.  God’s Speed to all.


- Bão Haiyan là một loại 3 cơn bão với sức gió 195 KPH . Mắt của Haiyan nằm ở giữa quần đảo Hoàng Sa Đà Nẵng , Việt Nam và . Haiyan đang di chuyển về phía Tây Bắc tại 35 KPH đưa ra giữa chừng theo dõi giữa bờ biển phía đông bắc của Việt Nam và đảo Hải Nam . Khi Haiyan là nằm giữa tt Kỳ Anh và đảo Hải Nam , di chuyển về phía tây bắc này sẽ dần dần biến thành một phong trào bắc-tây bắc với đổ bộ cuối cùng vào sáng sớm thứ Hai ngày 11 tháng 11 năm 2013 ( 8:00-10:00 ICT Việt Nam thời gian ) gần Đồng Hải / Hải Phòng / quận Đồ Sơn như một cơn bão nhiệt đới khắc nghiệt với sức gió 95-115 KPH . Vì vậy , hầu hết phía bắc bờ biển miền Trung Việt Nam từ Đà Nẵng , Việt Nam đến tp Móng Cái , Việt Nam sẽ cảm nhận được tác động từ cơn bão Haiyan trong các hình thức nội địa lũ lụt do sự đột biến thủy triều, sóng phá hoại tàu đánh cá , lũ lụt từ squalls mưa nhiệt đới , nhiệt đới gió bão lực lượng với cơn gió bão, và đe dọa sạt lở đất / lở đất . Một sự kiện mưa đáng kể (xem bản đồ dưới đây lượng mưa ) với lũ lụt có thể xảy ra ở Việt Nam và Tây Nam Trung Quốc ( dọc biên giới với Việt Nam ) , do đó, tất cả mọi người / bạn bè ở Việt Nam cần chuẩn bị để xử lý các tác động nêu trên. Có tồn tại một cửa sổ 12 giờ tốt cơ hội để bảo vệ tài sản và tìm nơi trú ẩn thích hợp đặc biệt là nếu bạn sống ở làng gần sông, dọc theo bờ biển , nơi tăng triều có thể sẽ phá hoại . Được ở vị trí của nơi trú ẩn không quá nửa đêm Chủ Nhật ngày 10 tháng 11 năm 2013 . Biện pháp phòng ngừa bây giờ để được an toàn sau đó. Mô hình tăng thủy triều và hồng ngoại mô hình cốt lõi mắt đăng được đăng trên trang web . Trang web DoctorAdvice4u.com sẽ blog landfallupdates 24/7 . Tốc độ của Thiên Chúa cho tất cả.



* LANDFALL MAPS:






(6:00 PM ICT, Vietnam Time, 11/09/2013)  

- Haiyan is a Category 4 typhoon in the South China Sea moving to the west towards central Vietnam at a brisk 40 kph.  As central Vietnam is approached, the typhoon is expected to make an eventual northwest turn, and the typhoon is forecast to parallel the north central Vietnamese coastline from Ngai, Vietnam to Vinh, Vietnam.  Once the typhoon approaches Vinh, Vietnam, the typhoon is expected to turn to the north-northwest heading for a landfall near the tp Thanh Hoa/tp Sam Son/Truong Son vicinity as a severe Tropical Storm with winds of 95-115 kph midday Monday November, 11, 2013.  Thus, most of Vietnam’s north central coastline from Ngai, Vietnam to tp Cam Pha, Vietnam will feel the impacts from Typhoon Haiyan in the form of inland flooding due to tidal surge, destructive surf to fishing vessels, flooding from tropical rain squalls, tropical storm force winds with typhoon wind gusts, and life threatening landslides/mudslides.  A significant rain event with flooding is likely to occur in Vietnam, northeastern Laos, and southwestern China (along the border with Vietnam); thus, all people/friends in Vietnam should make preparations to handle the above mentioned impacts.  There exists a good 20 hour window of opportunity to protect property and seek appropriate shelter especially if you live in villages close to rivers or along the coastline where the tidal surge is likely to be destructive.  Take precautions now to stay safe later.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will blog landfall updates 24/7.  God’s Speed to all.





* VIỆT NAM : siêu bão Haiyan ( 250 KPH , loại 4 )
- Landfall Blog , bản đồ, vệ tinh, radar , Theo dõi trên trang web .
- MY BLOG : (6:00 PM ICT , Giờ Việt Nam , 2013/11/09 )
Haiyan là một loại 4 cơn bão trong biển Nam Trung Hoa di chuyển về phía tây về phía trung tâm Việt Nam tại 40 KPH nhanh . Như miền Trung Việt Nam được tiếp cận , cơn bão dự kiến sẽ thực hiện một lượt cuối cùng về phía tây bắc , và cơn bão được dự báo sẽ song song với trung tâm phía bắc bờ biển Việt Nam từ Ngãi , Việt Nam đến Vinh, Việt Nam . Một khi các phương pháp bão Vinh, Việt Nam , cơn bão dự kiến sẽ chuyển sang phía bắc -tây bắc tiêu đề cho một đổ bộ gần tp Thanh Hóa / tp Sầm Sơn / Trường Sơn lân cận như một cơn bão nhiệt đới nghiêm trọng với sức gió 95-115 KPH trưa Thứ Hai Tháng mười một , 11 , năm 2013. Vì vậy , hầu hết phía bắc bờ biển miền Trung Việt Nam từ Ngãi , Việt Nam để tp Cẩm Phả , Việt Nam sẽ cảm nhận được tác động từ cơn bão Haiyan trong các hình thức nội địa lũ lụt do sự đột biến thủy triều, sóng phá hoại tàu đánh cá , lũ lụt từ squalls mưa nhiệt đới , cơn bão nhiệt đới gió lực lượng với cơn gió bão, và đe dọa sạt lở đất / lở đất . Một sự kiện quan trọng với mưa lũ có thể xảy ra ở Việt Nam , đông bắc Lào , và phía tây nam Trung Quốc ( dọc biên giới với Việt Nam ) , do đó, tất cả mọi người / bạn bè ở Việt Nam cần chuẩn bị để xử lý các tác động nêu trên. Có tồn tại một cửa sổ 20 giờ tốt cơ hội để bảo vệ tài sản và tìm nơi trú ẩn thích hợp đặc biệt là nếu bạn sống ở làng gần sông, dọc theo bờ biển , nơi tăng triều có thể sẽ phá hoại . Biện pháp phòng ngừa bây giờ để được an toàn sau đó. Trang web DoctorAdvice4u.com sẽ blog cập nhật đổ bộ 24/7 . Tốc độ của Thiên Chúa cho tất cả.






* VIETNAM LANDFALL MAPS:










 

( 1:00 AM ICT, Vietnam Time, 11/10/2013)  
- Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda remains a Category 5 typhoon with winds of 270 kph.  Haiyan/Yolanda has moved west of the Philippines Islands and has entered the South China Sea headed to the west at 30 kph towards north-central Vietnam.   Although Haiyan/Yolanda will undergo a gradual weakening trend, Haiyan/Yolanda is forecast to make landfall as a strong Category 1/Category 2 typhoon with winds of 160-175 kph.  At the moment, landfall is difficult to project due to the fact that Haiyan/Yolanda is expected to assume a northwest track as Vietnam is approached.  What this means is the typhoon may likely parallel the Vietnam coastline from tp Quang Ngai to Quang Tri before making actual landfall just south of tp Dong Hoi.  As the typhoon moves closer to Vietnam, a more accurate track and exact landfall location will become clearer.  In the meantime, all people/friends living on the Vietnamese coastline from Qui Nhon to Hai Phong, should closely monitor the track of Haiyan/Yolanda.  Wherever landfall is made, a destructive storm surge, torrential rains from tropical squalls, major flooding, tropical storm force to typhoon force winds, and life threatening landslides should be anticipated and prepared for in both Vietnam, Laos, and northeast Thailand.  Landfall is expected midday Sunday November 10, 2013 as a strong Category 1/ Category2 typhoon near tp Dong Hoi (map posted on website).  DoctorAdvice4u.com will continue to post landfall updates 24/7.  For now, prepare to protect property and locate shelters especially if you live along the north central Vietnam coastline. 







(1:00 AM PST, Philippine Time, 11/09/2013)      

 


PAGASA - Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration
Hotline: (02) 433- ULAN (433-8526) 

NDRRMC - National Disaster Risk Reduction and Mangement Council
Hotline: (02) 911-1406, (02) 912-2665

MMDA - Metro Manila Development Authority
Hotline: 136

DPWH - Department of Public Works and Highway
Hotline: (02) 304-3713

DOTC - Department of Transportation and Communication
Hotline: 7890, (0918) 884-8484

Philippine Red Cross
Hotline: 143, (02) 911-1876
http://www.redcross.org.ph/donate








(8:00 PM PST, Phillipine Time, 11/08/2013)
- Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda is making another landfall on Busuanga Island/Coron before exiting into the South China headed to north-central Vietnam.   Haiyan/Yolanda is a strong Category 5 typhoon with winds of 255 kph moving to the west-northwest at 30 mph.  Haiyan/Yolanda will exit the PAR by midday Saturday November 9, 2013. 




(


2:00 PM PST, Phillipine Time, 11/08/2013)
- Haiyan/Yolanda has maintained Category 5 status with winds of 285 kph.  Haiyan/Yolanda is tracking west towards Carles, Roxas City, Kalibo, Malay, into the Mindoro Strait, to Coron out into the South China Sea to north-central Vietnam. 




(10:00 AM PST, Phillipine Time, 11/08/2013)
* Today, Intense Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda became the most intense tropical cyclone to make landfall ever on our planet with sustained winds of 195 mph (314 kph).  However, when measuring tropical cyclones using the gold standard, barometric pressure, Intense Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda (895 mb) is the fourth strongest tropical cyclone ever on Earth.  Intense Super Typhoon Nancy (1961) is the most intense tropical cyclone on Earth with a barometric pressure of 882 mb and winds that peaked at 215 kph!  A Philippine signal map is posted below. 



- Third landfall occurred at Daanbantayan.  Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda appears to have weakened but remains a powerful Category 4 storm with winds of 275 kph.   Haiyan/Yolanda is tracking west towards Carles, Roxas City, Kalibo, Malay, into the Mindoro Strait, to Coron out into the South China Sea to north-central Vietnam.  



 



(9:00 AM PST, Philippine Time, 11/08/2013)




(7:00 AM PST, Philippines Time, 11/08/2013)
- Although landfall has occurred twice already (Guiuan and south of Tacloban), Intense Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda (314 kph) has not decreased in intensity.  I am absolutely speechless.  The eye core is intact, well organized, and shows no signs of disintegration.  Any land areas hit by the eye of Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda will sustain omplete and utter catastrophic damage.  An eye core infrared model is posted below along with extensive informational blogs, maps, satellite loops, and radars posted.  God's Speed to all.







(6:00 AM PST, Philippines Time, 11/08/2013)
- Intense Super Typhoon Haiyan/ Yolanda (314 kph) made an initial landfall in Guiuan, Philippines, and is now headed for a second landfall between Tacloban City and Abuyog.  Latest blog and LIVE radar loop is posted below.

 



(


5:00 AM PST, Philippilip
* INITIAL Landfall is imminent near Guiuan, Philippines.

 

 

Intense Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda (314 kph sustained winds) has become the most intense tropical cyclone/hurricane/typhoon ever recorded on Earth.  I am speechless.  Today, Haiyan/Yolanda’s  intensity exceeded Super Typhoon Megi (October 2010) and Super Typhoon Tip’s (October 1979) intensity.  UTip was considered our planet’s most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded on the planet until today.  Today, Friday November 8, 2013,Haiyan/Yolanda has made a historical journey into the record books. 

Intense Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda remains a perfect tropical machine with an eye about 45 km wide and a symmetrical core that easily extends 400+ km.  Haiyan/Yolanda is moving to the west-northwest at 30 kph towards Samar/Eastern Visayas (Region 8). Haiyan/Yolanda's track has shifted back south, and as of now, initial landfall as a Category 5 Intense Super Typhoon remains likely to occur on Leyte Island near the city of  Dulag Friday November 8, 2013 (10:00 AM - 1:00 PM PST, 11/08/2013).  After landfall, Haiyan/Yolanda will continue on west-northwest track from Dulag to Ormoc City to Palompon to Medellen to Santa Fe to Bantayan into Visayan Sea to Sara to Jamindan to Culasi into the Mindoro Strait to Culion Island out into the South China Sea to north central Vietnam.

* SATELLITE LOOP: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/31W/flash-rb-long.html

Many people continue to ask about impacts of this typhoon on their city and present location. The best way to explain where typhoon conditions are extremely likely is to look at a map of the Philippines. Draw a rectangle from the cities of Surigao City to Borongan (Samar Island) to Sablayan (Mindoro Island) to El Nido (near Batas Island) to Baclobad to Cebu back to Surigao City. On the fringes of this rectangle, Category 1 typhoon (120+ kph) conditions are to be expected with Category 4 (240+ kph) & Category 5 (260+ kph) conditions towards the center of the rectangle along the projected landfall path mentioned above.  Specifically, the Central/Western/Eastern Visayas, Bicol, Southern Tagalog, Southern Luzon, Calabarzon, Mimiropa, North Palawan, and Calamian Isles should prepare for typhoon to extreme typhoon conditions based on your proximity to the eye of the typhoon.  The outer rain squalls are impacting most of the interior central Philippines regions (Visayas) with typhoon conditions , and as Friday November 8, 2013 progresses, conditions will rapidly deteriorate throughout the day. Regions 4/5/6/7/8/10/13 should expect typhoon conditions including destructive surf, typhoon force winds, torrential rains from typhoon rain bands, major flooding, life threatening landslides, and tremendous storm surge especially on the Philippine eastern coastline and islands of Region 5 and Region 8 (see NEW wave model map on website). Stay in your place of safety until the typhoon passes. Due to the eye of Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda remaining over water as the storm moves east to west across the Philippines, the typhoon will likely maintain at least Category 4 (240+) and will likely traverse the Philippines from east to west with Category 5 typhoon wind strength.  Many of you will loose power, electricity, communication, and resources.  Do not panic. Stay calm.  The Philippines government/military and many international humanitarian agencies are positioned to assist and help all people/friends in the wake of this typhoon. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post updates hourly throughout landfall and as Haiyan/Yolanda tracks from east to west across the central Philippine regions.  We will get through this typhoon. Conditions will steadily improve by midday (12:00 PM PST) Saturday November 9, 2013.  Prayers from all religions and corners of the world have been sent to the Philippine people.  God's Speed to all.










(1:00 AM PST, Philippine Time, 11/08/2013)

Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda is now a historical Intense Super Typhoon with winds of 295+ kph.  Haiyan/Yolanda’s  intensity is similar to Super Typhoon Megi in October 2010, a typhoon that, in terms of intensity, ended up in the top 15 of all tropical cyclones ever on our planet, and a storm, at the time, I never imagined seeing again in terms of extreme low pressure and intensity.  The possibility exists that Haiyan/Yolanda could be approaching Typhoon Tip’s intensity, a typhoon that is the most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded on Earth.  Intense Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda remains a perfect tropical machine with an eye about 45 km wide and a core that easily extends 400+ km.  Haiyan/Yolanda is moving to the west-northwest at 35 kph towards Samar/Eastern Visayas (Region 8).  Haiyan/Yolanda's track has shifted further north, and as of now, initial landfall as a Category 5 Super Typhoon or a Category 5 Intense Super Typhoon remains likely to occur on Leyte Island between the cities of Tacloban City and Tanauan Friday November 8, 2013 (11:00 AM - 2:00 PM PST). After landfall, Haiyan/Yolanda will continue on west-northwest track from near Palo to Jaro to Tabango into the Visayan Sea to Binul to Tabugan Island to Roxas City to Kalibo to Caluya into Mindoro Strait to Busuanga Island out into the South China Sea to north central Vietnam. Dozens of people have and continue to ask about impacts of this typhoon on their city and present location. The best way to explain where typhoon conditions are extremely likely is to look at a map of the Philippines. Draw a rectangle from the cities of Surigao City to Borongan (Samar Island) to Sablayan (Mindoro Island) to El Nido (near Batas Island) to Baclobad to Cebu back to Surigao City. Inside this rectangle, Category 1 typhoon (120+ kph) conditions are to be expected with Category 4 (240+ kph) & Category 5 (260+ kph) conditions towards the center of the rectangle along the projected landfall path mentioned above.  *** There is an excellent wind map posted on the website to answer your questions concerning wind intensity in your city location. Specifically, the Central/Western/Eastern Visayas, Bicol, Southern Tagalog, Southern Luzon, Calabarzon, Mimiropa, North Palawan, NCR, and Calamian Isles should prepare for typhoon conditions.  ***  The outer rain squalls are already effecting the Eastern Visayas/Samar regions, along with interior central Philippines, and as Friday November 8, 2013 progresses, conditions will rapidly deteriorate throughout the day. Regions 4/5/6/7/8/10/13 should expect typhoon conditions including destructive surf, typhoon force winds, torrential rains from typhoon rain bands, major flooding, life threatening landslides, and tremendous storm surge especially on the Philippine eastern coastline an islands of Region 5 and Region 8 (see wave model map on website). You should be in your place of shelter no later than 9:00 PM PST November 7, 2013, and stay in your place of safety until the typhoon passes. Due to the eye of Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda remaining over water as the storm moves east to west across the Philippines, the typhoon will likely maintain at least Category 4 (240+) typhoon strength. Conditions will steadily improve by midday (12:00 PM PST) Saturday November 9, 2013. Much of you will loose power, electricity, communication, and resources. Do not panic. Stay calm.  The Philippines government/military and many international humanitarian agencies stand ready to help all people/friends in the wake of this typhoon. Regardless of faith and religion, the world's people sends prayers your way. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post landfall updates 24/7 posting latest maps, satellite images, and track to assist people in your safety and eventual recovery. God's Speed to all.









(5:00 PM PST, Philippine Time, 11/07/2013)  
Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda is approaching Intense Super Typhoon status with winds estimated at 287 kph.  Presently, Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda (280 kph) is the most powerful cyclone recorded on our planet this year and is rivalling some of the most intense typhoons ever recorded in the Western Pacific Ocean.  Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda is moving through prime conditions (warm waters, low wind shear) to sustain intensity and strength through landfall.  Haiyan/Yolanda's track has shifted further south, and as of now, initial landfall as a Category 5 Super Typhoon is likely to occur on Leyte Island between the cities of Dulag and Abuyog Friday November 8, 2013 (11:00 AM - 2:00 PM PST).  After landfall, Haiyan/Yolanda will continue on west-northwest track from near Dulag to Ormoc City to Bogo City to Bantayan to Roxas City to Kalibo to Malay into the Sulu Sea/Mindoro Strait to Cabilauan/Lauit/Dimalanta Islands to Calauit Island out into the South China Sea to north central Vietnam.  Dozens of people have asked about impacts of this typhoon on your city and  present location.  The best way to explain where typhoon conditions are extremely likely is to look at a map of the Philippines.  Draw a rectangle from the cities of Surigao City to Borongan (Samar Island) to Sablayan (Mindoro Island) to El Nido (near Batas Island) to Baclobad to Cebu back to Surigao City.  Inside this rectangle, Category 1 typhoon (120+ kph) conditions are to be expected with Category 4 (240+ kph) & Category 5 (260+ kph) conditions towards the center of the rectangle along the projected landfall path mentioned above.  The outer rain squalls are already effecting the Eastern Visayas/Samar regions and as Friday November 8, 2013 progresses, conditions will rapidly deteriorate throughout the day.  Regions 4/5/6/7/8/10/13 should expect typhoon conditions including destructive surf, typhoon force winds, torrential rains from typhoon rain bands, major flooding, life threatening landslides, and tremendous storm surge especially on the Philippine eastern islands (see wave model map on website).  You should be in your place of shelter no later than 9:00 PM PST November 7, 2013, and stay in your place of safety until the typhoon passes.  Due to the eye of Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda remaining over water as the storm moves east to west across the Philippines, the typhoon will likely maintain at least Category 4 (240+) typhoon strength.  Conditions will steadily improve by midday (12:00 PM PST) Saturday November  9, 2013.  Much of you will loose power, electricity, communication, and resources.  Do not panic.  The Philippines government/military and many international humanitarian agencies stand ready to help all people/friends in the wake of this typhoon.  Regardless of faith and religion, the world's people sends prayers your way.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com will post landfall updates 24/7 posting latest maps, satellite images, and track to assist people in your safety and eventual recovery.  God's Speed to all.
    




    



(4:00 AM PST, Philippine Time, 11/07/2013)      
Haiyan is a powerful, well organized Category 5 Super Typhoon (260+ kph).  The Super Typhoon is moving to the west-northwest at 35 kph and is headed for Samar Island & the Eastern Visayas (Region 8).  Haiyan's track has shifted slightly south; but, l
andfall is still expected midday to evening Friday November 8, 2013 (11:00 AM to 1:00 PM PST) as a strong Category 4 Super Typhoon or Category 5 Super Typhoon entering the Eastern Visayas (Region 8/ Samar) just north of Guiuan travelling west to Tacloban to Jaro to Leyte to near Daanbantayan into the Visayan Sea to Carles into the Jintotolo Channel to Ibajay to Malay to Caluya into the Mindoro Strait to north of Busuanga Island into the South China Sea to north central Vietnam.  *** An excellent landfall timeline map including times, dates, intensity, and exact location of Haiyan's eye is posted below. *** As Haiyan traverses the Philippines from east to west, the eye of the typhoon will remain over water; thus, Regions 3/4/5/6/7/8/NCR/Manila (see Region map on website) or more specifically, central and south Luzon, southern Tagalog, eastern/western/central Visayas, Bicol, Calamian Group of Islands, and north Palawan should pay particularly close attention to Haiyan's path.  As long as Haiyan's eye remains over water, the typhoon will remain a powerful Category 4 or Category 5 storm.  Any deviation of the track north or south will place these mentioned regions in the exact path of the eye of the typhoon.  Thus, right now, all people/friends, the time is imperative to make plans to seek appropriate shelter in buildings (not tents). I realize some friends/people have written from the earthquake zone (Loon) mentioning many buildings are unstable; however, you MUST locate and stay in concrete shelter(s) until Haiyan passes.  Haiyan's eye will pass north of the earthquake zone; however, this typhoon is massive in size resulting in typhoon force winds, torrential rain, flooding, and landslides likely for 12-16 hours within the earthquake zone.  The ground is already saturated from a tropical depression/storm this past week; thus, significant flooding is to be anticipated, and measures to deal with the flooding should be included in your preparations. Typhoon conditions will cover a broad portion of the central Philippine islands, especially the above mentioned regions (see maps below).  Destructive storm surge, life threatening landslides, torrential rains and flooding from tropical squalls, category 1 to category 4/5 typhoon force winds dependent on your location from the eye of the storm, and tropical storm winds for most of the islands of the Philippines are to be expected.  There remains a 20 hour window of opportunity to protect property and locate appropriate shelter.   This typhoon is not to be taken lightly.  All atmospheric signs point towards Super Typhoon Haiyan maintaining intensity through landfall; thus, prepare early to stay safe later.  Latest landfall maps and satellite image posted on website. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post landfall updates 24/7.


 
Sent Question: 
 "Dats wer I live... Llorente,, u can see it in the 3 rd map. Wat to do."

  • Roshin RowjeeYes, Ms. "CalJ", your family in Llorente is going to get hit hard by Haiyan.  The eye of the storm will likely cross Guiuan as a Category 4 or Category 5 Super Typhoon with sustained winds (240+).  With all urgency, your family should leave the island (moving to far south Mindanao if possible or going to a government shelter away from the coastline.)  This storm is massive and getting stronger and shows no signs of weakening.  The eye will likely stay over water maintaining most of her strength.  Does your family live on the coastline?

     

    Yeah, near the coastline...

  • Roshin Rowjee
    Roshin Rowjee

    Llorente is also located in the worst quadrant of the typhoon and the tidal storm surge will be destructive. If anyone lives live on Samar Island's coastline, they MUST EVACUATE.  Llorente is right in the target zone for extreme damage.  The risk is far to dangerous to stay. 

     


  • They will leave if they feel that it will get worst... I just pray dats it will pass just like a second...

    I saw d map in ur blog, and d direction of d typhoon... And all I can say is 'god protect my family and all d people there...

  • Roshin Rowjee
    Roshin Rowjee

    Ms. "CalJ", the typhoon will arrive as a strong Category 4 typhoon (possibly  approaching or already Category 5 status), and once severe typhoon conditions begin , there will be NO WAY TO EVACUATE.  Your family along with other residents of Samer Island must evacuate prior to the typhoon's arrival. Please view tidal wave height map below. 

     











(3:00 PM PST, Phillipine Time, 11/06/2013)  
- Haiyan is a Category 4 Super Typhoon with winds of 245+ kph.  Haiyan maintains a west-northwest movement at 28 kph headed towards the Samar & Eastern Visayas (Region 8).
  Landfall is expected midday to evening Friday November 8, 2013 (11:00 AM to 1:00 PM PST) as a strong Category 4 Super Typhoon or Category 5 Super Typhoon entering the Eastern Visayas (Region 8/ Samar) just north of Guiuan ravelling west to Babatngon to Cabucgayan to south of Naval through the Visayan Sea (Jintotolo Channel)  to Looc to San Jose out into the South China Sea to north central Vietnam. As Haiyan traverses the Philippines from east to west, the eye of the typhoon will remain over water; thus, Regions 3/4/5/6/7/8/NCR/Manila (see Region map on website) or more specifically, central and south Luzon, southern Tagalog, eastern/western/central Visayas, Bicol, Calamian Group of Islands, and north Palawan should pay particularly close attention to Haiyan's path.  As long as Haiyan's eye remains over water, the typhoon will remain a powerful Category 4 or Category 5 storm.  Any deviation of the track north or south will place these mentioned regions in the exact path of the eye of the typhoon.  Thus, right now, all people/friends, the time is imperative to make plans to seek appropriate shelter in buildings (not tents).  Typhoon conditions will cover a broad portion of the central Philippine islands, especially the above mentioned regions.  Destructive storm surge, life threatening landslides, torrential rains and flooding from tropical squalls, category 1 to category 4/5 typhoon force winds dependent on your location from the eye of the storm, and tropical storm winds for most of the islands of the Philippines are to be expected.  There remains a 18-20 hour window of opportunity to protect property and locate appropriate shelter.   This typhoon is not to be taken lightly.  All atmospheric signs point towards Super Typhoon Haiyan maintaining intensity through landfall; thus, prepare early to stay safe later.  Latest landfall maps and satellite image posted on website. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post landfall updates 24/7.







(6:00 AM PST, Philippine Time, 11/06/2013)   
- Haiyan is undergoing rapid intensification and is a Category 3 typhoon with winds of 185 kph.  Haiyan continues to move in a west-northwest direction (21 kph) towards Regions 3/4/5/6/7/8/NCR (see regional map on website).  Convection around the eye core is deepening and becoming well organized (a sign that this typhoon will "explode" in strength; thus, these two factors along with warm waters and low wind shear aloft will likely produce a Super Typhoon in the next 24-30 hours.  Landfall is expected midday to evening Friday November 8, 2013 (11:00 AM to 1:00 PM PST) as a strong Category 4 Typhoon or Category 5 Super Typhoon entering the Eastern Visayas (Region 8/ Samar) between Guiuan and Boronguan travelling west to Villareal to Kawayan to Esperanza to Balud to Looc to San Jose out into the South China Sea to south central Vietnam.  All cities lying close to the path of the above mentioned cities and regions should be actively preparing for this typhoon.  Before landfall, no factors exist to decrease the growing intensity of this typhoon; thus, with extreme urgency, plan accordingly to protect life and property.  If you live in the eastern Visayas, Bicol, Visayan Islands, western Visayas (Panay), central Visayas, Manila, NCR Region, Mindoro, southern Tagalog, and central Luzon, pay particularly close attention to the path of Haiyan, as these regions will feel the brunt of typhoon conditions not limited to destructive storm surge, life threatening landslides, torrential rains and flooding from tropical squalls, category 1 to category 4/5 typhoon force winds dependent on your location from the eye of the storm, and tropical storm winds for most of the islands of the Philippines.  There remains a 40 hour window of opportunity to protect property and seek government shelter as needed.  Prepare early to stay safe later.  Latest landfall maps and satellite image posted on website. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post landfall updates 24/7.

  • Martin Mangabat I am from laguna,and i heard that my province is one of affected, .is there a big chance to change path and goes to NW?
  • Roshin Rowjee Hi Martin. Laguna is southwest of the NCR, and all people who live in that area should prepare for typhoon conditions (Category 2/3). Martin, all tropical systems are unique; thus, each storm charts its own path and intensity. Prior to posting an analysis on my website, Facebook, and other accounts, the information is written with the best forecast based on present movement and factors that influence the system. Haiyan is a dangerous storm, and as mentioned, Manila, the NCR, and Laguna are in the worst quadrant of the typhoon if the present track holds. Could Haiyan come closer to Laguna? Yes. Haiyan is headed in your general direction and any slight deviation of the system to the north will place your city much closer to the eye of the storm, and conditions WILL be worse. Prepare.







(6:00 PM PST, Philippine Time, 11/05/2013)  
- Haiyan has become a Category 1 typhoon (130 kph) and is intensifying as movement continues in a west-northwest direction toward the Visayas and Luzon islands of the Phlippines.  Landfall is expected midday to early evening Friday November 8, 2013 as a Super Typhoon with winds between 240-295 kph.  With extreme urgency, friends/people in the above mentioned islands should be actively preparing for landfall by protecting property interests first, and moving into government shelters as needed no later than late Thursday November 7, 2013 9:00 PM PHT.  The eventual SuperTyphoon will make a path across the Philippines from east to west from Guiuan to Giporlos to Balangiga to Lawaan to Tacloban City to Carigara to San Isidro to Jintotolo Channel to Templo Island into the South China Sea headed towards central Vietnam.  If you live anywhere near the above mentioned cities and locations, preparations are essential to protect life.  Latest landfall map and satellite loop posted below.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post landfall blogs 24/7.
 

 
 

(12:00 NOON PHT, Philippine Time, 11/04/2013)
- Tropical Storm Haiyan (105 kph)  is intensifying and will impact the central islands of the Philippines by late week (November 8/9, 2013).   Regions 4/5/8 (map above) should pay particularly close attention to the track of Haiyan.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com will post landfall blogs 24/7.














* HAIYAN LIVE SATELLITES:






* LIVE PHILIPPINE RADAR:
 

- HONG KONG RADAR:
 
http://www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/radars/radar.htm
- CHINA RADAR:
 
http://www.weather.com.cn/static/en_product.php?class=JC_RADAR_CHN_JB
- EAST CHINA SEA RADAR: http://tenki.jp/rader/area-10.html

- PHILIPPINE RADAR: http://climatex.ph/radar/radar_metromanila.png
- PHILIPPINES RADAR: http://weathergaines.blogspot.com/2012/08/philippines-doppler-radar-noah.html















  * TYPHOON KROSA/ VINTA
 
       
- PHILIPPINES/ HAINAN/ VIETNAM -


- MY BLOG:

(4:00 PM iCT, Vietnam Time, 11/03/2013)
Krosa has significantly decreased in intensity and is a severe tropical storm with winds of 110 kph.  Upper level winds have greatly disrupted Krosa's circulation; thus, as Krosa moves to the southwest towards Vietnam (south west of tp Quang Ngai), the former typhoon will more than likely be a weak tropical storm or a tropical depression by the time the coastline is effected early morning Tuesday November 5, 2013 (1:00 AM ICT).  The threat level for a severe tropical storm impacting Vietnam has greatly diminished.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com will post landfall updates 24/7.







(5:00 AM CST, Hainan Time, 11/03/2013)
- This post has good news.  Specifically, Typhoon Krosa is decreasing in strength (150 kph), and at the moment, the storm is stationary, an indication that the southwest movement of Krona will soon occur.  Therefore, the threat as expressed in an earlier post for people/friends on the east coast of Hainan has subsided.  Continue to monitor Krosa's track and heed local bulletins.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post landfall updates 24/7.
   

 




(6:00 PM CST, Hainan Time, 11/2/2013)    
- Typhoon Krosa has maintained Category 3 strength and has NOT followed the official forecast track. Specifically, the path has veered further north and east of the official track and the expected turn to the southwest has NOT occurred. Thus, people in Hainan island especially on the eastern coastline should be extra vigilant monitoring Krosa’s track. If and when the southwest turn occurs, Krosa will be much closer to Hainan island than previously expected, and the typhoon impacts will be much more significant due to closer proximity of the storm. Krosa is experiencing good outflow maintaining Category 3 status in the process, and the typhoon is better organized with an eye diameter of approximately 40 km wide. People/friends living in Hainan from Daao Port to Laoyeha to Tofu Islet to Yalong Bay/ Sanya vicinity should closely monitor Krosa’s track and make preparations to possibly evacuate the coastline, especially on the southeast coastline of Hainan island, if the southwest turn is much later than expected. Krosa is a strong Category 3 typhoon and must be heeded with extreme caution. Krosa's eye is visible on latest Hong Kong radar, an indication that storm has veered off course. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post updates 24/7.  Stay vigilant and stay safe.






(10:00 AM CST, Hainan Time, 11/02/2013)  
- Krosa is a powerful Category 3 typhoon with 185 kph winds. Krosa is moving to the west at 11 kph towards Hainan Island; however, upon approach of Hainan Island, Krosa is forecast to turn to the southwest heading to Vietnam as a moderate tropical storm (see maps below).  In central Vietnam, landfall is expected between tp Tam Ky and tp Quang Ngai early morning Tuesday November 5, 2013 (7:00 AM ICT) as a tropical storm with winds of 90-115 kph.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com will post landfall updates 24/7.







(3:00 PM ICT, Vietnam Time, 11/01/2013)
- Krosa is a Category 1 typhoon with winds of 140 kph.  As Krosa moves to the west (24 kph)towards Hainan island, the typhoon is expected to regain strong Category 2 strength with 160-195 kph winds.  However, upon approach of Hainan Island, Krosa is forecast to turn to the southwest heading to Vietnam as a moderate tropical storm (see maps below).  Landfall is expected near Hue, Vietnam early morning Monday November  4, 2013 (7:00 AM ICT) as a tropical storm with winds of 90-115 kph.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com will post landfall updates 24/7.









( 4:00 PM PHT, Philippine Time, 10/31/2013)    
Typhoon Krosa/Vista is an organized Category 2 storm with winds of 155 kph.  Since the last post, Krosa/Vista  changed direction and decreased her forward speed of movement; thus, landfall time and location have changed significantly.  Typhoon Krosa/Vista will clip the very northern peninsula of Luzon island as a Category 2 typhoon with winds of 150-165 kph. Krosa/Vista will make a track from the eastern shoreline of Luzon to Gonzaga to Aparri to Bangui out into the South China Sea towards Hainan Island. Due to the change in direction, the worst sector of the typhoon, specifically the northeast quadrant, will miss most of Luzon island.  However, Vista/Krosa has grown significantly in size; thus, most of the northern half of Luzon will feel tropical  storm effects with typhoon effects closer to the actual eye's path   The storm is making landfall; thus, the situation is actively unfolding.  Rough surf, strong tropical storm to typhoon force winds, flooding, significant rains from tropical squalls, and landslides and or mudslides are likely as the storm passes by Luzon island. Due to conditions deteriorating as the evening progresses, stay in your place of shelter following local bulletins and advisories. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will continue to provide blog landfall updates 24/7. Stay safe. 











(10:00 AM PHT, Phillipine Time, 10/31/2013)
- LANDFALL IS 2 TO 3 HOURS AWAY (see photo below). Vinta/Krosa is a Category 1 Typhoon with winds of 130 kph. Typhoon Vista/Krosa remains on a landfall path towards Luzon island.  Specifically, Vinta/Krosa is expected to make landfall, as a strong Category 1 typhoon with winds of 125-140 kph, travelling from east to west from the eastern shoreline of Luzon island to near Lal-lo to slightly north of the town, Pasuquin. Rough surf, strong tropical storm to typhoon force winds, flooding, significant rains from tropical squalls, and landslides and or mudslides are likely as the storm passes through Luzon island. Due to conditions deteriorating as the morning progresses, stay in your place of shelter following local bulletins and advisories. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will continue to provide blog landfall updates 24/7. Stay safe.







(6:00 AM PHT, Philippine Time, 10/31/2013)
Vinta/Krosa is a Category 1 Typhoon with winds of 120 kph.  As anticipated several days ago, Typhoon Vista/Krosa remains on a landfall path towards Luzon island; however, the track has moved further north (from the previous post).  Specifically, Vinta/Krosa is expected to make landfall, as a healthy Category 1 typhoon with winds of 125-140 kph, travelling from east to west from the eastern shoreline of Luzon island to near Lal-lo to slightly north of the town, Pasuquin.  Rough surf, strong tropical storm to typhoon force winds, flooding, significant rains from tropical squalls, and landslides and or mudslides are likely as the storm passes through Luzon island.  Due to conditions deteriorating as the morning progresses, stay in your place of shelter following local bulletins and advisories.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will continue to provide blog landfall updates 24/7.  Stay safe.







(11:00 PM PHT, Philippine Time, 10/30/2013)
- Krosa/Vinta is a gradually intensifying 100 mph tropical storm moving to the west-northwest at 20 mph towards Northern Luzon.  Tropical Storm Krosa/Vinta is expected
to make landfall as a Category 1 typhoon midday Thursday October 31, 2013 (1:00 PM - 3:00 PM PHT).  The landfall track has shifted north as the storm is expected to travel from east to the west from the eastern shoreline of Luzon to near Amulung to Kabugao to Laoag City out into the South China Sea towards Hainan Island.  Rough surf, strong tropical storm to typhoon force winds, flooding, significant rains from tropical squalls, and landslides and or mudslides are likely as the storm passes through Luzon island.  You should be in your place of shelter awaiting arrival of Vinta/Krosa.  As the day progresses on Thursday October 31, 2013, conditions will deteriorate rapidly; thus, local official bulletins will provide timely information.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will continue to provide blog landfall updates 24/7.  Stay safe.





( 7:00 AM PHT, Philippine Time, 10/30/2013)
- Although the official update classifies Krosa/Vinta as a tropical storm with 55 kph winds, satellite pictures indicate otherwise.  Specifically, Tropical Storm Krosa/Vinta is a well organized tropical storm with winds of 96 kph and is intensifying.  Tropical Storm Vinta/Krosa  will continue in a west-northwest direction at 15 kph towards Northern Luzon making landfall as a strong Category 1 typhoon early to midday Thursday October 31, 2013 (9:00 AM - 1:00 PM PHT).  The landfall track has not changed (from prior posts) and the storm will travel east to west from the eastern shoreline of Luzon to near Tuguegarao to the Cabugao/Batac vicinity out into the South China Sea towards Hainan Island.  Rough surf, tropical storm to typhoon force winds, flooding, significant rains from tropical squalls, and landslides and or mudslides are likely as the storm passes through Luzon island.  There still remains a 16-20 hour window of opportunity to move to government shelters especially if you live on the eastern shoreline of Luzon.  As the day progresses on Thursday October 31, 2013, conditions will deteriorate rapidly; thus, you should be in your place of shelter no later than 9:00 PM PHT Wednesday October 30, 2013.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will blog landfall updates 24/7.  Stay safe.








(9:00 PM PHT, Philippine Time, 10/29/2013)
- Officially, Vinta is a tropical depression (55 kph) soon to become upgraded to a tropical storm.  Vinta is steadily organizing and is anticipated to make landfall on the eastern coast of northern Luzon midday Thursday October 31, 2013 (12:00 Noon to 2:00 PM PHT) as a Category 1 typhoon (125 -140 kph winds).  A projected landfall map is posted below.  Thus, make appropriate preparations to protect life and property as Vinta will be a healthy Category 1 typhoon as the storm moves from the eastern shoreline of Luzon to Tuguegarao to the Cabugao/Batac vicinity out into the South China Sea.  Rough surf, tropical storm force winds and typhoon force wind gusts, flooding, significant rains from tropical squalls, and landslides/mudslides are likely as the storm passes from east to west across Luzon island.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post updated landfall blogs 24/7.








( 7:00 AM PHT, Philippine Time, 10/29/2013)
- Officially, Tropical Depression Vinta has yet to form; however, judging by satellite pictures, the disturbance already appears to be Tropical Storm Vinta with winds of 75 kph.  Vinta will likely make landfall in central Luzon midday Thursday October 31, 2013 (2:00 PM PHT) near the Palanan Bay area.  DoctorAdvice4u.com will post detailed landfall blog updates 24/7.



* SATELLITE LOOPS:




 
HAINAN ISLAND/ GUANGDONG / HONG KONG/ PHILIPPINE SATELLITE LOOPS:

- HAINAN ISLAND/ SOUTH CHINA SATELLITE LOOPS:

PHILIPPINE/ WEST PACIFIC SATELLITE LOOPS




* LIVE PHILIPPINE RADAR:

 
- HONG KONG RADAR: http://www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/radars/radar.htm
- CHINA RADAR:
 
http://www.weather.com.cn/static/en_product.php?class=JC_RADAR_CHN_JB
- EAST CHINA SEA RADAR: http://tenki.jp/rader/area-10.html

- PHILIPPINE RADAR: http://climatex.ph/radar/radar_metromanila.png
- PHILIPPINES RADAR: http://weathergaines.blogspot.com/2012/08/philippines-doppler-radar-noah.html




  






     * TROPICAL STORM  WILMA

                  - PHILIPPINES & VIETNAM -



* MY BLOG:

(3:00 AM ICT, Vietnam Time, 11/06/2013)
Tropical Depression Warnings are in effect for south-central Vietnam (official government bulletin).  However, satellite pictures indicate a low end tropical storm with much moisture headed to south Vietnam.  A significant rain event will encompass south Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, and Cambodia; thus, prepare by moving away from areas that often flood.  Follow local bulletins with regards to shelters.
 


 




(7:00 AM PHT, Phillipine Time,11/05/2013)  
- Tropical Depression Wilma (45 kph) is moving to the west through western Visayas (Region 4 on Philippine Region map above), making landfall near the cities north of Dumaron and south of Taytay, and is headed towards south Vietnam. Wilma is gradually intensifying and is anticipated to make landfall as a severe tropical storm (110-120 kph winds) late Wednesday November 6, 2013 near the cities of Nha Trang and Tp Cam Ranh in Vietnam. Monitor and prepare early to protect life and property. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post landfall updates 24/7.


* LIVE SATELLITE LOOPS:

Storm-Centered Infrared 
Storm-Centered Infrared (Aviation Color Enhancement) 
Storm-Centered Water Vapor
Storm-Centered Visible 
Storm-Centered Visible (Colorized) 
South China Sea/West Pacific Infrared 
South China Sea/West Pacific Enhanced Infrared 
South China Sea/West Pacific Water Vapor 

* LIVE RADAR:

- PHILIPPINE RADAR: http://climatex.ph/radar/radar_metromanila.png
- PHILIPPINES RADAR: http://weathergaines.blogspot.com/2012/08/philippines-doppler-radar-noah.html









* TSUNAMI PREPARATION/AWARENESS:





* CLICK VIDEO TO LEARN HOW TO PREPARE FOR A TSUNAMI:


                                                                     



                    
*** GLOBAL TSUNAMI THREAT ZONES ***




 - 2004 INDONESIA TSUNAMI DOCUMENTARY VIDEOS:




- 2011 JAPANESE TSUNAMI DOCUMENTARY VIDEO:





- 2010 CHILE TSUNAMI VIDEO:



 

*** TSUNAMI INFORMATION GUIDE LINKS: 

- ENGLISH: http://itic.ioc-unesco.org/images/stories/awareness_and_education/great_waves/great_waves_en_small.pdf
- SPANISH: http://itic.ioc-unesco.org/images/docs/grandes_olas_sp.pdf
- CHINESEhttp://itic.ioc-unesco.org/images/docs/great_waves_tc_2006.pdf










* TROPICAL CYCLONE ALESSIA
                             - AUSTRALIA -

MY BLOG:


(7:00 PM WST, Australia Time, 11/24/2013)
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from WA/NT Border to Point
Stuart, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands.  Tropical Cyclone Alessia has moved away from the north Kimberley coast and is currently approaching the western Top End. The centre of this small tropical
cyclone is expected to cross the coast overnight between Darwin and Port Keats. GALES with gusts to 95 kilometres per hour are expected to develop this evening on the coast between Port Keats and Darwin, including the Tiwi Islands. Gales may develop south of Port Keats if the cyclone takes a more southerly track.
Gales have eased on the north Kimberley coast.  Heavy rain is likely to cause localised flooding over the western Top End as the cyclone makes landfall and moves inland.


(5:00 PM WST, Australia Time, 11/23/2013)
Tropical Cyclone Alessia is being affected by dry air and is expected to struggle to maintain its intensity. However, gales may still develop along the northern Kimberley coast later this afternoon or this evening as the system approaches.  Overnight 11/23/2013 into Sunday 11/24/2013, Alessia is expected to brush the northern Kimberley coast in the vicinity of Kalumburu. Late on Sunday 11/24/2013, the cyclone is likely to approach the west coast of the Top End as a tropical low or weak tropical cyclone.  A Cyclone WARNING is currently in effect for coastal areas from Kuri Bay to WA/NT Border.

* ALESSIA SATELLITE LOOPS:

* LIVE AUSTRALIA RADAR:

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/national_radar_sat.loop.shtml












          * CYCLONIC STORM LEHAR

                           - INDIA -



* MY BLOG:

(10:00 PM IST, India Time, 11/27/2013) 
As "Very Severe Cyclonic Storm" Lehar approaches the Andra Pradhesh coastline, the cyclone is encountering moderate levels of wind shear; thus, Lehar has undergone a significant deterioration in strength as is now classified as "Cyclonic Storm" Lehar with winds of 100 kph.  Lehar will continue a gradual weakening trend making landfall the afternoon of November 28, 2013 along the Andra Pradhesh coastline near Machillipatnam.  Due to the shift of Lehar's track much further south than initially forecast, the tidal storm surge threat now exists further south between Narsapur, India to the Ballateru vicinity of India.  Specifically, a tidal wave surge (see NEW map below) of 3 to 5 feet (0.8 - 1.4 meters) is expected in the above mentioned locations.  For those people who inquired, a tidal surge is the wave height above the normal sea surface.  Thus, as the cyclone approaches the Andra Pradhesh coastline, "mini-tsunami" type waves will batter the coastline before, during, and after the storm passes for a total of 6-9 hours.  As Lehar gets closer to the coast, the waves will become larger.  Those people/friends who live along the Andra Pradesh coastline along the forecast track (see map below) and where flooding is common, you should evacuate (leave the area) and go to a government shelter or seek higher ground.  Lehar is expected to make landfall as a strong cyclonic storm with winds of 80-90 kph and gusts to 100 kph.  The DoctorAdvice4u website will post updates 24/7 or as needed.










(4:00 AM IST, India Time, 11/26/2013) 
LEHAR is a "Very Severe Cyclonic Storm"  with winds of 135  kph and gusts to 150 kph.  Lehar is located in the southeast Bay of Bengal approximately 480 km west-northwest of Port Blair, 860 km east-southeast of Machillipatnam, 800 km east-southeast of Kakinada and 750 km southeast of Kalingapatnam. This system is expected to gradually intensify continuing a  west-northwestward movement towards the Andhra Pradesh coastline making landfall as a  “Very Severe Cyclonic Storm" (170-180 kph)  between Machillipatnam and Kalingapatnam near Kakinada, India November 28, 2013 around the noon hour.   *** PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE BETWEEN KAKINDA, INDIA TO PUDIMADAKA, INDIA SHOULD EXPECT A 3 TO 5 FOOT TIDAL WAVE SURGE.  IN OTHER WORDS, “TSUNAMI” TYPE WAVES OF 1.0 TO 1.5 METERS IN HEIGHT WILL CRASH THE COASTLINE FOR 6-8 HOURS NONSTOP.  TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS INCLUDING EVACUATING THE COASTLINE AS NECESSARY. ***  A NEW tidal surge map along with updated track, satellite images, intensity maps, and timeline are posted on the website. The DoctorAdvice4u website will post updates 24/7. Plan early to stay safe later.

* CYCLONE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANDHRA PRADESH COASTLINE.








(3:00 PM IST, India Time, 11/26/2013)  
Early November 26, 2013, Severe Cyclonic Storm 'LEHAR' intensified into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm  with winds of 125  kph and gusts to 140 kph.  Lehar is located in the southeast Bay of Bengal approximately 280 km west-northwest of Port Blair, 1000 km east-southeast of Machillipatnam, 940 km east-southeast of Kakinada and 875 km southeast of Kalingapatnam. This system is expected to gradually intensify continuing a  west-northwestward movement towards the Andhra Pradesh coastline making landfall as a  “Very Severe Cyclonic Storm" (175-185 kph)  between Machillipatnam and Kalingapatnam near Kakinada, India November 28, 2013 around the noon hour.   *** PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE BETWEEN NARSAPUR, INDIA & KAKINDA, INDIA SHOULD EXPECT A 3 TO 4 FOOT TIDAL WAVE SURGE.   IN OTHER WORDS, “TSUNAMI” TYPE WAVES OF 0.8 TO 1 METERS IN HEIGHT WILL CRASH THE COASTLINE FOR 6-8 HOURS NONSTOP.  TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS INCLUDING EVACUATING THE COASTLINE AS NECESSARY. ***  Updated tidal surge map, track, satellite images, intensity maps, and timeline are posted on the website. The DoctorAdvice4u website will post updates 24/7.                                                                                               









(9:00 PM IST, India Time, 11/25/2013

Cyclonic Storm 'LEHAR'  (115 kph) has passed the  Andaman & Nicobar Islands and is continuing a west-northwest movement in the Bay of Bengal with an eventual landfall on the Andra Pradesh coastline between Machillipatnam & Kalingapatnam near Kakinada, India Thursday November 28, 2013 around noon.  All people/friends living on the Andra Pradesh coast should pay close attention to this developing system.  Lehar is expected to make landfall as a "Very Severe Cyclonic Storm" with winds of 118-221 kph.  A NEW tidal surge map, track, satellite images, intensity maps, and timeline are posted on the website. The DoctorAdvice4u website will post updates 24/7.  




















(5:00 AM IST, India Time, 11/25/2013)



Cyclonic Storm 'LEHAR'  (95 kph) is crossing through the  Andaman & Nicobar Islands near Portblair.  Lehar will continue a west-northwest movement in the Bay of Bengal with an eventual landfall on the Andra Pradesh coastline between Machillipatnam & Kalingapatnam near Kakinada, India Thursday November 28, 2013 around noon.  All people/friends living on the Andra Pradesh coast should pay close attention to this developing system.  Lehar is expected to make landfall as a "Very Severe Cyclonic Storm" with winds of 118-221 kph.  The DoctorAdvice4u website will post updates 24/7. 
 























(3:00 PM IST, India Time, 11/24/2013)

- As anticipated on a November 18, 2013 blog, a tropical cyclone has developed in the southeast Bay of Bengal moving northwest at 9 kph towards the central Indian coastline.  At the moment, Tropical Cyclone #5 (64 kph) is causing tropical cyclonic conditions in the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.  Tropical Cyclone #5 (64 kph) is expected to make landfall as a very severe cyclonic storm (118-221 kph) mid to late week November 27/28, 2013 in the vicinity between Bhimavaram, India to  Visakhapatnam, India.  However, all people and friends from Chennai, India to the Bangladesh/India border should monitor the track of this developing tropical system as the exact track is likely to change in the coming days.  Maps showing the present location of the cyclone along with multiple satellite loops is posted below. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post landfall updates 24/7.















(1:00 AM IST, India Time, 11/24/2013)

As mentioned on November 18, 2013, a tropical cyclone (64 kph) has now formed in the southeast Bay of Bengal.  Updated landfall blog will be posted in the next six hours.










(6:00 PM IST, India Time, 11/18/2013)

- Atmospheric conditions (sea temperatures, low wind shear) remain favorable for development of a cyclonic storm (62-87 kph) to severe cyclonic storm (88-117 kph) forming in the Indian Ocean south of the Andaman & Nicobar Islands and heading towards the south Indian coastline (See posted map on website) late week to early weekend this week. At the moment, satellite pictures do not indicate any formation of a tropical system; however, all people/friends living from Nellore, India to Tirunelveli, India, including the island of Sri Lanka, should monitor the tropics, especially November 22-25, 2013. DoctorAdvice4u.com website will provide landfall updates 24/7 and as needed.















* SATELLITE LOOPS:

 

 






* TROPICAL CYCLONE MADI/ #06B

                              - INDIA -




* MY BLOG:

(6:00 PM IST, India Time, 12/12/2013)
Madi is no longer classified as a tropical system. Madi is a "marked low pressure" with winds of 20 kph creating a brief period of rain west of Sri Lanka along the Indian coastline. This is the final update.


(6:00 AM IST, India Time, 12/11/2013)
- Satellite pictures of Cyclonic Storm "Madi" with winds of 90 kph continue to show a significant decrease in intensity and overall coverage.  As Madi moves to the southwest towards the southern coast of India,  the cyclone will become a depression by December 12, 2013 and a low pressure system on the December 13, 2013.  With the exception of minor tropical rain bands, NO SIGNIFICANT LANDFALL IMPACTS are forecast.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com will post updates 24/7. 
 








(9:00 PM IST, India Time, 12/09/2013)
Madi remains a "Very Severe Tropical Cyclone" with winds of 130 kph located in the WestCentral Bay of Bengal.  Madi has reached its peak sustained winds and will begin a gradual weakening trend to a "Cyclonic Storm" by December 10, 2013 and a “Depression” by December 13, 2013.   Madi remains well east of the Andra Pradhesh coastline and will gradually turn to the southwest toward  the Indian coastline (12/10/2013) but will weaken to a tropical low WITHOUT landfall impacts.  Presently, Madi is located about 510 km east-northeast of Chennai, India.  As mentioned yesterday, there is no threat to Myanmar and Thailand.  Latest blog, maps, track, and satellite loops are posted on the DoctorAdvice4u.com website and Twitter pages.  Please feel free to friend my Facebook accounts for information concerning this and future typhoons/hurricanes/tropical systems.  For those peoplewho inquired, you do not need to know me personally.  The DoctorAdvice4u.com website is run voluntarily.





(6:00 PM IST, India Time, 12/08/2013)
Madi is a "Very Severe Tropical Cyclone" with winds of 120 kph located in the Southwest Bay of Bengal.  Madi is likely to increase to 140 kph sustained winds by December 9, 2013 before undergoing a gradual weaking trend to a "Cyclonic Storm" by December 12/13, 2013.  Madi remains well east of the Andra Pradhesh coastline and will parallel the Indian coastline without making landfall.  Madi is located about 450 km east-southeast of Chennai drifting to the north-northeast at 3 kph.  Madi is expected to dissipate by late week this week, December 13/14, 2013 with the threat to Myanmar and Thailand greatly diminished.  Latest blog, maps, track, and satellite loops are posted on the DoctorAdvice4u.com website and Twitter page. 





(6:00 PM IST, India Time, 12/07/2013)
Madi is a cyclonic storm with winds of 90 kph located in the Southwest Bay of Bengal. 
Madi is located about 480 km from Chennai and 350 km northeast of Trincomalee. Madi
is expected to become a Severe Cyclonic Storm by December 8, 2013 strengthening with 
winds approaching 120 kph by December 9, 2013.  The good news is this cyclone will
stay offshore of the Indian coastline and the threat to Burma and Thailand is reduced due to conditions not being favorable for further increase in intensity. The remnants of Madi may cause a rain event over
Burma and Thailand mid to late week next week.  Latest blog, track, maps, satellite
loops posted on the DoctorAdvice4u.com website.





(4:00 PM IST, India Time, 12/7/2013)
A Tropical Depression has formed over the southwest Bay of Bengal  today, December 6, 2013.  The depression is approximately 500 km southeast of Chennai and 325 km northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka).  As mentioned in yesterday's blog, a Deep Depression is expected to form in the next 24 hours (12/7/2013) becoming a cyclonic storm (12/08/2013).  Tropical Cyclone "Madi"/#06B will parallel the Andar Pradhesh coastline remaining out at sea and curving to the north-northeast early next week (December 9/10, 2013).  People in Burma and Thailand should monitor this system as the possibility exists the storm will be headed to those countries late week next week. Latest blog, maps, track, satellite loops are posted on the DoctorAdvice4u.com website. The DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post updates 24/7. 






• (12/5/2013)
INDIA: Tropical Disturbance 92B
- Satellite pictures appear to indicate a developing tropical system in the Western Bay of Bengal east of Sri Lanka. The system is poorly defined but a slight counterclockwise circulation is noted on latest satellite loops just east of the Andra Pradhesh coastline. Conditions are favorable for this system to become a Tropical Depression or Deep Depression by 12/7/2013 and a Cyclonic storm by late weekend or early next week, December 8/9, 2013. DoctorAdvice4u.com website will post updates 24/7.


* SATELLITE LOOPS:


 

 




 









 

* ROSHIN Bio 121- ANATOMY & PHYSIOLOGY - 
                                             KNA/KN1 Sections

 



- MY BLOG: 


 
 
- MY BLOG: (4:15 PM EST, Monday 12/16/2013
Greetings Students. I am very sorry for the inconvenience. Within the past half hour, the lab
oratory staff has informed me that lecture room #3432 is being used for the entire evening. There are no available lectures rooms until 6:45 PM EST. Thus, I have reserved laboratory room #3433 for your final exam.
 
**** 
The KNA Section Final Exam is in room #3433, Monday December 26, 2013 from 6:00 TO 9:00 PM EST.

***
 

(1:00 PM EST, 12/16/2013)
KNA PM Section: Meet at room #3432 with relocation to an adjacent lecture room likely.  


(8:30 AM EST, 12/16/2013)
KN1 Section of Anatomy & Physiology I Final Exam in Biology Lecture Hall room #3432.



(6:00 PM EST, Sunday 12/15/2013)
After visiting with the lab coordinator early Sunday afternoon, the director will locate and secure an available lecture room for the final exam early Monday morning December 16, 2013.  Thus whether you are in Roshin’s Bio 121 KN1 or KNA sections of Anatomy & Physiology I class, all students should meet outside room #3433 to either take the exam in that room or to be redirected  to an adjacent lecture room.  

**********************  

The KN1 section (2:25- 5:10 PM) final exam is scheduled for 9:00 AM Monday December 16, 2013 in room #3433.  The KNA section (5:15 – 8:05 PM) final exam is scheduled for 6:00 PM Monday December 16, 2013 in room #3433.   

***********************




(3:00 AM EST, 12/15/2013)
Roshin's Essex County College (Newark, New Jersey) Bio 121 Anatomy & Physiology I  KN1/KNA sections final exam schedule has been postponed from Saturday December 14, 2013 to Monday December 16, 2013.  Tentatively, the KN1 section (2:25-5:10 PM) will take their final exam Monday December 16, 2014 at 9:00 AM in room #3433.   For the KNA section that meets from 5:15 PM- 8:05 PM, tentatively, your exam has been scheduled for 6:00 PM Monday December 16, 2013 in room #3422 or room #3433.  I am still awaiting approval from the lab director as to which room will be available Monday evening.  Please check the website and or school accounts this evening (12/15/2013) for latest update. 

       
- Winter Storm WARNING issued for Newark, New Jersey (See maps.) 
- Check DoctorAdvice4u website & Facebook pages for updates. 

- MY BLOG 
(6:00 AM EST, 12/14/2013)
A Winter Storm WARNING has been issued for Newark, New Jersey and surrounding areas from 6:00 AM Saturday December 14, 2013 thru 6:00 AM Sunday December 15, 2013 (See pink areas on map above).  The winter storm's dangerous impacts include snow, ice, freezing rain, and sleet depending on your location and timing.  Nonetheless, all people/friends/students should expect deteriorating conditions today, Saturday December 14, 2013, with the worst winter conditions being late Saturday afternoon thru overnight.  Roshin's Essex County College (Newark, New Jersey) Bio 121 Anatomy & Physiology I  KN1/KNA sections final exam schedule has been postponed from Saturday December 14, 2013 to Monday December 16, 2013.  Tentatively, the KN1 section (2:25-5:10 PM) will take their final exam Monday December 16, 2014 at 9:00 AM in room #3433.   For the KNA section that meets from 5:15 PM- 8:05 PM, tentatively, your exam has been scheduled for 6:00 PM Monday December 16, 2013 in room #3422 or room #3433.  I am awaiting approval from the lab director as to which room will be available Monday evening.  Keep checking the website for updates.  There remains a five hour window of opportunity to make preparations for this winter storm, prior to the worsening conditions hitting the area; thus, plan accordingly.  Latest warning and snow total maps posted below.  Stay safe.

 

LIVE WEATHER RADARS:

1)      http://www.weather.com/weather/map/interactive/?lat=40&lon=-86&layers=0039&baseMap=h&animation=true&_rd=n&zoom=5

2)      http://weather.newyork.cbslocal.com/auto/wcbstvV3/Region/Northeast/2xRadar.html

3)      http://newjersey.news12.com/weather/radar



ACTIVE STATE & COUNTY ALERTS:
http://www.weather.com/newscenter/alerts/region/severeWxAlertsNEUS.html

* BULLETIN:
WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY
  AND COASTAL SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE
  LATE EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...ALONG
  WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING AND GRADUALLY PICKUP
  IN INTENSITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY
  AT TIMES THIS EVENING...AND THEN MIX WITH SLEET AND CHANGE TO
  FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS THROUGH TONIGHT...POSSIBLY ICY LATE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.





 

 

 









    * REMEMBERING NELSON MANDELA (1918-2013)


    " Madiba your shadow will forever be cast over us and this great nation! #RIP Tata"

                                                                                                                                    - Hiren (South Africa)

        

    "I learned that courage was not the absence of fear, but the triumph over it. The brave man is not he who does not feel afraid, but he who conquers that fear." - Nelson Mandela This is one of my favourite quotes from him I learned when I was young.... --- Ms. Rekha Thakoor-Schultz (USA)

     
    "My grandfather (on my mom's side) was one of the main leaders of the Indian National Congress, and many of the leaders of both the African National Congress and Indian National Congress including my eldest uncle's father (on my mom's side) and countless others, were arrested, placed on trial in Rivonia (in Johannesburg) or other courts, and sentenced to hard labor. My eldest uncle's father was in a prison cell next to Nelson Mandela's cell for nineteen plus years. Today, we honor all leaders of that era who stood against the oppressive forces denying men human dignity. We younger generation who live in South Africa or have roots that trace to South Africa owe a debt of gratitude to our elders for their sacrifices and perseverance. I bow my head in respect to that generation." --- Roshin Rowjee 

             


    "Farewell to the Father of our nation - 
    Your humanity, resilience, compassion and defiance - your struggle for freedom and equality has given us the hope so many generations before us had yearned for. 
    It is because of you - we as a nation are proud to be South African.
    Goodbye Tata ... RIP"
     --- Mr. MK (South Africa)


    " We are blessed to be living in a time when Nelson Mandela lived. To experience his vision of a democratic South Africa. Madiba ( A name of respect from his Xhosa clan tribe in the Eastern Cape) is the Father of South Africa. He is known for his humanity, courage, peace, and wisdom. No one has his integrity or character today. We have all lost one of the greatest leaders and visionaries of our time. Nelson Mandela was brought to Earth to help the people of South Africa. He did his work, and God has called him back. God bless his soul." --- Ms. Priya (South Africa)

          

    "I remember way back in 1980 going to a huge family picnic in South Africa. I remember all 20+ vehicles we rode in travelled down a long road with a guard stand at the end of the road. The guard would look into each vehicle, and if you were white, turn right; but, if you were nonwhite, turn left. I remember segregated restrooms, picnic grounds, stores, water fountains, all of which I was never exposed to in the USA or Canada. Then, in 1993, I remember shanty towns, megasized hippopotamus government tanks, and the terrible smell when you opened your car door due to no sewage systems in the squatter camps. My mom's father was actively involved in the freedom movement, and upon visiting South Africa, I have always taken time to listen to our elders and their stories. We, younger generation, owe a huge debt of gratitude to Nelson Mandela and the elders in our family. There sacrifices have brought forth peace and a better future for all South Africans and the world. --- Roshin Rowjee 


    "RIP tata Madiba... A sad day for SA. U will b missed."  --- Ms. AB (South Africa)



    "The world has lost a great leader today." -- Mr. PT (Nigeria/USA)





    * SOUTH AFRICA: Nelson Mandela Memorial (December 10, 2013)
    - In 1993: Nobel Peace Prize Awarded to Nelson Mandela & F.W. de Klerk
    - In 2013: "Our dear father of SA, Mr Nelson Mandela, Thank you for everything that you have done for the people of SA. As we bid you farewell, U have united 51 million people yet again. May u rest in peace. Halla Madiba # proudly South African" --- Ms. AmiB (South Africa)

     

    "Nelson Mandela was brought to Earth to help the people of South Africa. He did his work, and God has called him back.  God bless his soul." --- Ms. Priya Kanjee (South Africa)

    "Nelson Mandela...the light of South Africa.  Sleep Well & Thank You.--- Roshin Rowjee

               













    * TROPICAL CYCLONE CHRISTINE (98S)
                        
    - AUSTRALIA -
         
                 


    MY BLOG:

    *AUSTRALIA: TROPICAL CYCLONE CHRISTINE (175 kph)
    - Landfall Blog, Maps, Track, Satellites, Radars on site.
    - MY BLOG: (1:00 AM WST, Australia Time, 12/31/2013)
    ---------------------- LANDFALL IMMINENT -------------------------------
    The VERY DESTRUCTIVE inner core of Severe Tropical Cyclone Christine is now on the coast between Port Hedland and Karratha. The system is moving away from Port Hedland and winds there are slowly easing. In the Karratha area winds are intensifying as Christine comes closer. Christine is expected to continue on a south southwest track and the centre will cross the coast between Whim Creek and Karratha during the next two hours.

    VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 200 kilometres per hour are likely near the centre as the cyclone and crosses the coast.

    VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts to 170 kilometres per hour have been observed at Roebourne Airport in the last hour.

    DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 130 kilometres per hour have begun in the Karratha area and are expected to extend well inland overnight and during Tuesday. People in Tom Price can expect destructive wind gusts to commence around 8am Tuesday morning.

    GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are occurring between Pardoo and Mardie and will extend to the inland Pilbara overnight.

    People on the coast between Pardoo and Wickham including Port Hedland are warned of the potential for a VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE tonight. Tides may rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and VERY DANGEROUS COASTAL INUNDATION.

    Widespread heavy rainfall is expected near the cyclone track and Flood Warnings have been issued for the Pilbara.

    Gales with wind gusts to 100 kilometres per hour should extend into the eastern Gascoyne and the northern Goldfields including Wiluna later on Tuesday until the cyclone weakens late Tuesday or early Wednesday.



    (5:00 AM WST, Australia Time, 12/30/2013)

    * CURRENT WARNINGS & WATCHES: 
    http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDW24100.txt






    (1:00 AM WST, Australia Time, 12/30/2013)
    Christine (115 kph) is a Category 2 Tropical Cyclone located west of the Kimberley coast and is expected to intensify further as it moves towards the Pilbara coast.  Projections are that Christine will acquire Category 3 status early morning today December 30, 2013 and will make landfall late December 30, 2013 into early morning December 31, 2013 middway between Karratha and Port Hedland, Australia.  During Monday gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour and heavy rainfall are expected to extend to Mardie and possibly as far west as Exmouth, and then to the inland Pilbara and northeast Gascoyne late Monday and on Tuesday. If Christine
    continues to develop as expected a severe tropical cyclone impact on the Pilbara coast is
    likely late on Monday or early on Tuesday, with VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 165 kilometres per hour near the cyclone centre.  People on the coast between Pardoo and Mardie are warned of the potential for a VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE Monday evening and Tuesday morning. Tides may rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and VERY DANGEROUS COASTAL INUNDATION.  People/friends who live on the islands of Depuch, Sable, Ronsard, Reefs, West Moore, East Moore, and other surrounding islands should be on high alert as the landfall path will be on or very close to these mentioned island locations.  A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from Cape Leveque to Mardie,
    including Broome, Port Hedland and
    Karratha, and extending inland to Marble Bar.  A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Mardie to Exmouth, including Onslow, and extending inland to Paraburdoo and Newman and into the northeast Gascoyne.Preparations to protect life and property should be well underway.  DoctorAdvice4u.com will post updates 24/7 (and see DoctorAdvice4u Twitter box on website for timely updates). 

    * DEPARTMENT OF FIRE & EMERGENCY SERVICES:
    http://www.dfes.wa.gov.au/alerts/Pages/default.aspx







    (1:00 AM AWST, Australian Time, 12/29/2013)
    Christine (85 kph) is a Category 1 Tropical Cyclone west of the state of Western Australia.  Christine is expected to steadily increase in intensity to a Category 3 Tropical Cyclone by early afternoon December 30, 2013 making landfall late night December 30, 2013 into early morning December  31, 2013 slightly east of Karratha, Australia.  Since yesterday’s post, Tropical Cyclone Christine’s track has shifted significantly to the east; thus, all people/friends in Western Australia who live from the Potter/Carey Islands to Preston Island to
    Karratha to Port Hedland, in particular, should closely monitor the track of this storm as landfall is likely in the area mentioned.  The tropical cyclone’s most significant effects of tidal surge, tropical rain squalls, coastal flooding, inland flooding, and tropical storm to tropical cyclone force winds will be felt from Karratha to Cape Leveque, Australia.   A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from Cape Leveque to Whim Creek, including Broome and Port Hedland.  A Cyclone WATCH is current for the coastal areas from Whim Creek to Exmouth,including Karratha and Onslow, extending inland to Paraburdoo.  Christine is located 540 km northeast of Port Hedland and continues a southwesterly movement roughly parallel to the Australian coastline.  Furthermore, all people/friends living on Enderby/West Lewis/West Intercourse/Dampier/ Legendre/Dolphin/East Lewis/Angel/East Intercourse/ Gidley and other surroundings islands need to pay particularly close attention to the path of this developing tropical cyclone.  Preparations to protect life and property should be underway with the possibility of evacuating inland if your area is in the exact landfall path.  DoctorAdvice4u.com will post updates 24/7.





    (4:00 AM AWST, Western Australia Time, 12/27/2013)
    Tropical disturbance (‪#‎98S‬) located west of the state of Western Australia and in the southwest Timor Sea has begun to show signs of organization. The tropical low is expected to become a Category 1 (63-88 kph) tropical cyclone by mid afternoon December 28, 2013, a Category 2 (89-117 kph) tropical cyclone by noon December 29, 2013, and a Category 3 (118-159 kph) tropical cyclone by late afternoon December 30, 2013, making a projected landfall New Year's Eve, December 31, 2013, in Western Australia somewhere between Exmouth and Karratha, Australia. All people/friends in the state of Western Australia between Exmouth and Karratha, and if living on Thevenard/Barrow/Enderby/West Lewis/West Intercourse/Dampier/ Legendre/Dolphin/East Lewis/Angel/East Intercourse/ Gidley and other surroundings islands need to pay particularly close attention to the path of this developing tropical cyclone. Preparations to protect life and property should be underway with the possibility of evacuating inland if your area is in the exact landfall path. DoctorAdvice4u.com will post updates 24/7.





    SATELLITE: http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/satellite/?ref=ftr
    OR
    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/austwest/movies/gmsirbbm/gmsirbbmjava.html







    RADAR:
     
    http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR173.loop.shtml#skip



    WESTERN AUSTRALIA RADARS:

    ID Location Radar views
    70 Perth (Serpentine)   128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    31 Albany (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    17 Broome (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    05 Carnarvon (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    15 Dampier 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    32 Esperance (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    45 Eucla (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    06 Geraldton (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    44 Giles (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    39 Halls Creek (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    48 Kalgoorlie (pt) 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    29 Learmonth 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    16 Pt Hedland 128 km 256 km 512 km composite
    07 Wyndham 128 km 256 km 512 km composite